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Report
Volatility will remain the key dynamic in oil markets in the aftermath of the surprise Hamas attacks against Israel on October 7. The risk of a major oil supply shock has gone up, but meanwhile supply constraints will remain at variance with global growth problems stemming from restrictive monetary ...
09 Oct 2023
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Report
European auto stocks are cheap, but even if European carmakers can rise to the challenge created by Chinese EVs, shareholders will suffer....
09 Oct 2023
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Report
The market has been held hostage by surging rates. Zombie companies are “alive” and are multiplying – they are highly sensitive to surging borrowing costs. Underweight Utilities to reduce portfolio duration. Maintain neutral positioning of Basic Materials but take a granular approach to allocations ...
09 Oct 2023
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Report
Households’ excess pandemic savings will eventually run out, but we continue to disagree with the widespread view that they’re already gone or entirely in the hands of the wealthy. Consumers’ demise continues to be greatly exaggerated....
09 Oct 2023
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Report
An update to our US bond strategy following this morning’s employment report....
06 Oct 2023
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Report
In this report, we explore some trading opportunities after a volatile few weeks for FX markets....
06 Oct 2023
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Report
India’s intake of industrial commodities is 10-to-20 times as small as China’s. Capital goods are five times as small. Hence, India is not in a position to offset any decline in Chinese demand for these commodities and goods....
06 Oct 2023
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Report
India’s intake of industrial commodities is 10-to-20 times as small as China’s. Capital goods are five times as small. Hence, India is not in a position to offset any decline in Chinese demand for these commodities and goods....
06 Oct 2023
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Report
The EU’s transition to a carbon tax launched this week via its Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanics (CBAM) will lead to higher inflation in the medium term (3 – 5 years out), and will stoke consumer (i.e., voter) antipathy if it becomes effective in 2026. As a result, the tax will be watered down. Foo...
05 Oct 2023
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Report
Both USHQ portfolios outperformed their benchmark and the BCA Score L/S posted its best month of the year. In fact its one-month return in the top decile of all monthly returns. The BCA Score is constructed to provide downside protection in times of turmoil, and last month was no exception....
05 Oct 2023